VPS in Forex Trading

IC Markets is the largest FX broker in the world by FX volume (excluding Japan) - Finance Magnates Q1 & Q2 2017 Intelligence Report.

IC Markets mission is to create the best and most transparent trading environment for retail and institutional clients alike allowing traders to focus more on their trading. Built by traders for traders IC Markets is dedicated to offering superior spreads, execution and service.

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Tips Umum dan Asas Bermain Forex

Perkongsian saya pada hari ini adalah berkaitan dengan teknik pasti menang apabila bermain forex.

Sikap dan Kawalan Diri
Teknik ini memerlukan anda untuk berdisiplin dan tidak tamak. Apa yang anda perlu miliki ialah satu kebolehan untuk mengawal nafsu ketika bermain.

Ketika bermain forex, kita tidak boleh sesekali melawan arus pergerakan matawang itu.

Rangka Masa (Time Frame)
Kita perlu melihat terlebih dahulu rentak pergerakan daripada waktu masa 15 minit, 1 jam, 4 jam, 1 hari, 1 minggu dan  1 bulan agar kita boleh memahami pergerakan itu dengan lebih jelas.

Bentuk dan Pergerakan Candlestick
Selain itu, kita juga perlu mempunyai pengetahuan untuk membaca pergerakan candlestick kerana setiap bentuk candlestick memberikan informasi yang berbeza. Rentak bentuk candlestick itu wajib difahami agar kita mampu memasang lot dengan lebih baik serta dapat meminimumkan risiko kerugian.

Lot Taruhan
Perkara yang perlu dipertimbangkan juga adalah jumlah ataupun bilangan lot yang dipasang perlu dan mesti bersesuaian dengan kekuatan total model kita.

Jikalau kita mempunyai model yang kecil tetapi memasang lot dengan jumlah yang besar, ia adalah satu tindakan yang kurang bijak dan risiko kerugian itu akan sangat tinggi jikalau rentak candlestick itu berubah arah.

Isu-isu Ekonomi Dunia
Anda juga perlu memastikan diri anda peka terhadap isu-isu ekonomi dunia kerana perubahan arah pergerakan candlestick adalah berkait langsung dengan dengan isu-isu semasa ekonomi dunia khususnya di negara Jepun, Eropah, UK dan Amerika.

Informasi ini akan dikemaskini dari masa ke semasa.

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Mari Belajar Forex Melalui Akademi Forex Malaysia

Ketika keadaan ekonomi dunia tidak menentu, ramai orang sedang merungut terutama sekali golongan ahli-ahli perniagaan kerana ketidakstabilan ekonomi telah menjejaskan pendapatan mereka. Keadaan ini bukan sahaja menjejaskan golongan perniagaan malah bagi mereka yang bekerja dalam kerajaan dan swasta juga merasakan impak kerana harga barangan semakin meningkat tanpa titik noktah. Pendapatan bulanan pada masa kini seperti sudah tidak mampu menampung perbelanjaan bulanan. Ketidakstabilan politik telah menjejaskan keyakinan pelabur asing dan telah menyaksikan beberapa syarikat besar asing telah menarik keluar pelaburan mereka dari negara Malaysia.

Meskipun keadaan hidup kian menyempit, orang ramai tidak pernah berputus asa untuk meneruskan kehidupan demi keluarga yang disayangi. Semangat ini telah membantu diri mereka untuk mencari sumber alternatif dalam mencari wang.

Di Sabah, penduduknya yang kini sudah mencecah 3.1 juta lebih mempunyai potensi kuasa beli yang kuat. Persaingan perniagaan jelas dapat dilihat dimana-mana yang secara langsung boleh menjadi indikator ataupun petanda bahawa ekonomi Sabah semakin menjadi rancak tahun demi tahun.

Walau apapun jenis perniagaan yang wujud di Sabah, satu jenis perniagaan kini telah menjadi pilihan rakyat Sabah. Perniagaan tersebut adalah Forex atau Foreign Exchange (Tukaran Matawang Asing). Jenis perniagaan ini telah menjadi popular kerana ia mudah dikendalikan. Walau bagaimanapun, rakyat Sabah telah menjadi mangsa yang kejam oleh Broker Forex yang palsu. Terlalu banyak duit rakyat Sabah telah melayang kerana tertipu dengan Broker-broker Forex yang palsu sehingga menjejaskan imej dan prestij perniagaan ini dimata rakyat Sabah.

Namun, syukur kerana terdapat seorang rakyat Sabah yang bernama Alix Sunggin telah menampilkan diri untuk membantu rakyat Sabah untuk menceburi bidang perniagaan ini. Beliau telah menubuhkan syarikatnya dengan nama Akademi Forex Malaysia. Lokasi pejabatnya yang terletak di Kobusak Commercial Centre Penampang telah Berjaya melahirkan lebih daripada 200 lebih Pedagang-pedagang Forex Baru (New Forex Traders). Sudah terdapat bebarapa anak murid beliau mendapat status jutawan.

Sebelum ini, ia dikenali sebagai Akademi Forex Sabah namun setelah ia didaftarkan, nama tersebut ditukar menjadi Akademi Forex Malaysia. 

Beliau berharap agar rakyat Sabah mengambil peluang ini untuk mempelajari  ilmu Forex daripadanya kerana segala ilmunya yang sudah berusia lebih daripada 8 tahun akan diajar kepada mereka yang ingin mempelajarinya. 

Menurutnya juga, melalui info yang dikeluarkan daripada Bloomberg, transaksi perniagaan Forex ini merupakan perniagaan yang terbesar di dunia dengan jumlah 5 trillion sehari. Dijangkakan pada tahun 2020, angka ini akan meningkat kepada 10 trillion sehari. Perniagaan ini telah mengatasi perdagangan bursa saham yang ada didunia.

Dengan kewujudan Akademi Forex Malaysia yang satu-satunya di Malaysia yang berada di Sabah, rakyat Sabah sangat bertuah dan mempunyai peluang untuk bergelar jutawan. Namun, sebelum mampu mencapai status tersebut, anda semua dinasihati untuk mempelajari teknik-teknik yang betul dalam Forex bagi mengelakkan kerugian. Semuanya akan diajar melalui Akademi Forex Malaysia.

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Pasangan matawang GBPUSD Jatuh Teruk!

Pasangan matawang GBPUSD telah jatuh teruk memecahkan rekod lama yang pernah direkodkan pada Januari 2009 dengan harga 1.3509. Kini, pasangan matawang telah berada pada rekod harga 1.2902. Antara faktor kepada kejatuhan nilai matawang GBP kepada USD adalah kesan daripada Brexit Referendum yang mana rakyat British memilih untuk tidak lagi mahu berada didalam Kesatuan Eropah atas dasar kepentingan negara mereka.

Lantas daripada itu, keyakinan pelabur-pelabur sedikit sebanyak telah tergugat daripada tindakan itu dan dunia telah menyaksikan matawang British telah jatuh. Ia ditambahkan lagi apabila Pusat Bank England telah menurunkan kadar faedah daripada 0.50% kepada 0.25%. 

Ia telah menjadi tanda yang jelas bahawa British sedang menuju kepada kegawatan ekonomi. Walau bagaimanapun, British sangat terkenal dengan kebolehannya untuk menyelesaikan masalah dan mari kita bersama-sama mengikuti perkembangan mereka.

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When Not to Trade Forex

There are a number of scenarios where it’s inadvisable to trade. These can be separated into personal/environmental reasons and market reasons.

Personal reasons not to trade:

Get rid of all distractions 

You need to be able to concentrate on the charts and not get caught up with other things going on. For instance you might be waiting for a trade and then you get distracted and when you come back to your chart you have missed the trade or you buy instead of selling etc. Distractions can be costly. However, life is full of distractions so put the cat in the hall and shut the door. Put the baby in the playpen where you can see/hear her but at least you won’t have to worry that she has wandered off again… Whatever your potential distractions are, deal with them before you start to trade. Even a Ninja can lose a fight if distracted…

Emotional times 

If something emotional has happened, and you can’t be subjective, then do not trade! This could be any number of things that had a negative impact on your day. It could be that you broke up with your partner to a death in the family etc… You need to be able to assess what’s happening in a very short period of time, and if you are mentally elsewhere then this can have a negative impact on your trading account…

The personal times that you shouldn’t trade can really be summed up as times when you are out of synch with your normal body rhythm. These are times where your emotions or environment can negatively affect the way you trade, and can seriously hamper the likelihood of a successful trade. The good news is these tend to be things that you can control or have some degree of control over. The market reasons for not taking a trade are a bit different. These tend to be external where you have very little or no control over them. These can really kick you in the butt and leave you limping for a while. Ignore these at your Peril!!

Market Reasons not to trade:

Bank Holidays 

These are scheduled and there is nothing you can do about it. If there is an USA or UK Bank Holiday I don’t bother trading. This is because the Banks are the biggest participants in the Forex market. If they are on holiday then the volume of transactions being carried out is greatly reduced. This can lead to either really static markets or on occasion erratic markets. Either way it does not follow the normal pattern, so I stay clear.

If however, it’s a Bank Holiday in another country such as Japan or Australia then I wouldn’t trade currencies that belong to those countries, e.g. jpy or aud pairs, but would still trade the gbp/usd/chf etc pairs…

News 

There are scheduled news releases, and economic news, that is due to be released throughout the day. These can be found, in advance, in a number of places but the most popular one seems to be the Forex Calendar, provided by Forex Factory.

There are 3 types of news; yellow, orange and red. Each has a different impact and is all explained in the calendar. There tend to be folders that generally are not a good idea for a new trader to try and trade. High impact, red folders, can really move the market, sometimes spiking in both directions, before settling done. These are high risk times where a lot of people get stopped out.

The one’s I specifically avoid would be the ISM Manufacturing data, interest rate announcements and NFP related news announcements. However, it’s not just the announcements themselves that can affect the market. The rumours surrounding what the potential numbers will be can cause the markets to move in anticipation. Therefore, it’s not a good idea to trade, for the hour before or after the news. With NFP, it’s a good idea not to trade that day at all.

Now that may seem extreme, but these can be the biggest account killers and can wipe out a new account in a few seconds.

Speeches 

These tend to generally be on the calendar as well. If specific people are talking then please do not trade. These people include the ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and BOE Governor Mervyn King. It’s important that when the BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa speaks to pay attention. These tend to happen when people are asleep so less of a worry. But if you are trading the Japanese session then be wary!!

These people are notorious for dropping hints about economic policy changes that are likely to happen with the currency they are responsible for. These hints cause a lot of speculation in the market and therefore a lot of price movement. These can be big currency movers as they are generally responsible for setting Interest rates in those countries, and as mentioned above interest rate announcements can cause large movements.

Erratic Periods

There will be times where a currency is moving differently from normal. Perhaps it’s spiking and you don’t know why. This is a good time to stay out of the market. If you don’t understand why it’s moving like this then it’s generally because there is unscheduled news that has been released or leaked. This is generally bad news and the market is still unsure as to how to react to it. For instance, this was happening during the recent credit crunch and the various Banks reporting that they were having major difficulties.

Weekends

It’s unadvisable to hold trades over the weekend, unless your method is a long term strategy which specifically involves holding trades for longer time frames, such as weeks or months.

A lot can happen over the weekend. All it would take is for 1 Bank to go bust over the weekend for your position to go completely different from how you expected… A terrorist attack could happen over the weekend, which would also move the markets crazily. Now these might seem out of the norm but if you look these have happened recently on more than 1 occasion.

These types of events will generally lead to the market opening again will a large gap and generally with a large change in your position. A lot of times this can cause serious harm to your trading account balance.

Market close/open 

Good idea to avoid these or be wary around these times. At market close a number of trading positions are being closed. This will lead to volatility in the currency markets and can cause the price to move erratically. The same applies at market open. A lot of people are opening positions as they do not want to hold them over the weekend for the reasons stated above.

December and Summer Holidays 

Banks tend to trade the Forex markets at least once a day for balance sheet reasons and can also trade a number of times throughout the day for speculation reasons.

When I say balance sheet reasons, I mean to balance out their currency book. They need a certain amount of each currency to meet the demand of their customers, both personal and business, that will need to buy foreign currency from the bank or exchange their foreign currency for their local currency. Banks have to balance this out each day otherwise they leave themselves open to Foreign exchange risk. This means Banks are the major players in the Forex market.

So during December and the summer months a lot of Bank staff take their holidays. Therefore, Forex markets generally slow down as there are fewer participants in the marketplace. This is generally a good time for private traders such as us to take a holiday. If the markets are flat there’s no point in trading so go off and enjoy yourself.

You gotta keep your body in prime fighting condition but holidays are also part of giving your mind some relaxing time to recharge those batteries, ready to go when you return.

Source: Forex For Noobs

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Forex Money Management. Trade safe building stable gains

Money management is a way Forex traders control their money flow: literally IN or OUT of own pockets... Yes, it's simply the knowledge and skills on managing own Forex account.

Forex brokers will rarely teach traders good money management skills, though almost all brokers will offer some sort of education, therefore it's important to also learn on your own.

There are several rules of good money management:

1. Risk only small percentage of a total account

Why is it so important?

The main idea of the whole trading process is to survive! 

Survival is the first task, after which comes making the money.

One should clearly understand that good traders are, first of all, skillful survivors. Those who also have deep pockets can additionally sustain larger losses and continue trading under unfavorable conditions, because they are financially able to. For an ordinary trader, the skills of surviving become a vital "must know" requirement to keep own Forex trading accounts "alive" and be able to make profits on top.

Let's take a look at the example that shows a difference between risking a small percentage of capital and risking a larger one. In the worst case scenario with ten losing trades in a row the trading account will suffer this much:

Apparently, there is a big difference between risking 2% and 10% of the account balance per trade. A trader who has made 10 trades risking only 2%, under the worst conditions would lose only 17% of his initial investment. The same trader who had been exposing 10% of the balance per trade would end up losing over 60% of his initial investment. As you can see, this simple decision — a money management approach — can have serious consequences if misjudged.

2. Returning the lost capital is harder that it seems to

Let's take a look at calculations where a trader has lost some part of his account. How much effort will it take to recover the original account balance?

Now, here is a challenge: try on your demo account to gain a return of 300% or at least 100% of your original account trading as it were the real money. Will that be easy? I don't think so. Can you prove me wrong?

3. Calculate risk / reward ratio before entering a trade

When chances to win in a trade are smaller than potential losses, don't trade! Remember — staying aside is a position.

For example:
losing 40 pips versus winning 30 pips,
losing 20 pips versus winning 20 pips,

both examples are showing a bad risk management.

Before entering a trade, reassure that risk / reward ratio is at least 1:2 (but ideally 1:3 or higher), which means that chances to lose are tree times less than promises to win. For example: 30 pips of a possible loss versus 100 pips of a potential win is a good trade to consider taking.

Adopting this money management rule as a must, in the long run it will dramatically increase your chances to succeed in making stable profits.

Next chart shows the risk / reward rule in practice.

10 trades with 1:3 risk / reward ratio were conducted.
A trader was losing only $100 in a trade when he was wrong, but was winning $300 in each profitable trade.

As we can see, using 1:3 risk / reward ratio constantly and being successful only 50% of the time, anyone can make a profit in the end. The higher the reward ratio (compared to the risk ratio) the better are chances to end up in profit.

4. Learn to use protective stops

Continue reading about protective stops and their importance for good money management: Learn to use Stop Loss effectively.

5. A practical example of applying money management rules:

Risking no more than 2-3% of the total account per trade... How does it work in practice?
Let's use an example to understand it.

We have opened a trading account of $1000 USD with a broker and got 20:1 leverage. So, now we have leveraged ourselves to $20 000 USD to begin trading with.

More money means a higher trading power. Correct. But, the higher the trading power, the higher the risks; and when we talk about risks we talk about a real account value which will decrease with every loss sustained during trading. So, when we say risking no more than 2-3% of a total account value we mean the real account value — which is $1000 USD in our case.

Now, let's start trading and do the math.

Let's say, we have decided to risk 2% of the account in each trade.
$1000 x 2% = $20 USD.

This means that when the price goes against us, we will need to be out of the trade once we are $20 dollars down. Ok, time to trade. Our trading power measures $20 000 USD (thanks to our leverage).

What will happen if we try to trade them all at once: for one $20 000 dollar trading lot order our Forex broker gives us a pip value of $2 dollars. This means that with each pip gained we will have +$2 USD in our pocket. But this also means that with each pip lost our real account will shrink by $2 dollars. Since we can afford to lose only $20 dollars in one trade, we'll exiting a trade once the market makes... -10 pips! Yes, only 10 pips is required this time to reach our 2% limit. 10 pips * $2 USD per 1 pip = $20 dollars, which is our 2% account limit according with the money management rule we've chosen to follow.

Now, let's try to trade a $10 000 dollar position. The pip value for this position size will be $1 USD.
The math goes as follows:

we can stay in trade until market makes -20 pips against us. Yes, this time we can sustain a bigger market shift.

If we decrease our trading lot to $5000 USD, our sustainability will raise to -40 pips against our trade. (The pip value for $5000 dollar lot will be $0.50 cents). And so on.

As you can see, with the money management rule in place our real account is under control. And even if leverage allows trading larger positions, the risks should be always under control.

Source: Forex Money Management

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Money Management dan Leverage

Dalam dunia perniagaan Forex, pengurusan kewangan (money management) serta pemilihan leverage merupakan 2 faktor yang sangat penting bagi memastikan keberkesanan dalam mendapatkan keuntungan serta mengurangkan risiko kerugian.

Ini juga bermaksud, kesilapan ataupun kecuaian dalam mempertimbangkan 2 perkara ini sebelum memulakan trading akan mengundang risiko kerugian besar apabila arah sentimen matawang (trend currency) bertentangan dengan taruhan trading kita.

Jadual Money Management diatas adalah nasihat dan cadangan untuk dijadikan panduan kepada mana-mana individu yang baru mahu mengenali Forex dan yang ingin mendalami kefahaman tentang perkara ini.

Semoga informasi ini membantu diri anda dalam melakukan perniagaan Forex.

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